Is the Bitcoin bottom in?

Eight on-chain bottom indicators, each measured against the four completed Bitcoin cycle lows, and a count of how many agree today.

Questions people ask

How does the cycle tracker decide whether the bottom is in?

It reads eight public on-chain series once a day, checks each against the level it held at the four completed Bitcoin cycle lows, and counts how many are in that zone today. The count is the headline; the price at which each reading would turn on is the useful part.

Is it a forecast?

No. Every hit rate on the page is out of four episodes — enough to be interesting, not enough to be significant — and when the halving clock and the on-chain readings disagree, the page shows both rather than choosing one.

Which famous bottom indicators were left out?

Three that appear on most cycle trackers — the Mayer Multiple below 0.8, price below the short-term-holder cost basis, and raw SOPR below 1 — were tested against the same four lows and did not earn a place in the count. The page lists why.

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