Correlation

Glossary · Quant & Stats

Correlation measures how closely two assets move together, on a scale from -1 to +1. At +1 they move in lockstep, at 0 they're unrelated, at -1 they move opposite. Crypto traders track correlation to BTC and to macro assets like the Nasdaq to judge whether a coin adds diversification or just repackages Bitcoin exposure.

"Most alts are just Bitcoin with extra steps — check the correlation before you call it diversification."

It's computed on returns, not prices, over a rolling window — 30 or 90 days are the common choices, and the window changes the answer. Read the scale in bands: above +0.8 is effectively one trade, +0.3 to +0.7 is loose coupling, near 0 is genuinely independent. Most large-cap alts run +0.7 to +0.9 against BTC, and since 2020 BTC itself often tracks the Nasdaq in risk-off stretches — which is why a Fed day can nuke an 'uncorrelated' altcoin bag.

The trap: correlation is highest exactly when you need diversification most. In a crash everything converges toward 1 as leverage unwinds and people sell whatever still has a bid — so holding ten alts isn't spreading risk, it's one BTC trade with extra beta. The tail worth watching is the opposite one: when a coin stops following BTC on red days, someone is absorbing the sells, and that quiet decoupling tells you more than any pump.

See what's actually moving together

Related jargon

Questions

What is Correlation in crypto trading?
Correlation measures how closely two assets move together, on a scale from -1 to +1. At +1 they move in lockstep, at 0 they're unrelated, at -1 they move opposite. Crypto traders track correlation to BTC and to macro assets like the Nasdaq to judge whether a coin adds diversification or just repackages Bitcoin exposure.
How would a trader say it?
Most alts are just Bitcoin with extra steps — check the correlation before you call it diversification.

Part of the Crypto Jargon glossary — every term, decoded the way a trader would say it.

Crypto Jargon

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