{"slug":"win-rate","term":"Win Rate","category":"Quant & Stats","definition":"Win rate is the percentage of trades that close in profit. On its own it says nothing about profitability: a 90% win rate loses money if the rare losers are large, while a 35% win rate profits when winners run three times the losers. Win rate only carries meaning next to the average risk-reward per trade.","street":"A 90% win rate with no stop-loss is just a slow countdown to the one trade that takes it all back.","depth":["The breakeven win rate is set by your risk-reward: at 1:1 you need above 50%, at 1:2 above 33%, at 1:3 just above 25% — so a strategy that's wrong most of the time can still pay if winners run. Sample size is the other half: 20 trades tell you almost nothing, since even a genuine 50% system throws seven-trade win and loss streaks routinely. Judge a win rate on 100+ logged trades or don't judge it at all.","Win rate is the number retail optimizes because losing feels bad, and it's exactly the number that's easiest to fake: tight targets with wide stops, no stop at all, or averaging down all inflate it while quietly wrecking expectancy. That's how a '92% accurate' Telegram channel works — 92 small wins, then the 8% arrives and takes the account. When someone leads with accuracy, ask what the average loss looks like; if they won't say, you already know."],"live":{"label":"See the radar's calls, hits and misses","href":"/radar"},"related":["risk-reward","expectancy","drawdown"]}